Voters are not polarized. They are up for grabs.

The image we have of America these days is of a country deeply divided, separated by education, class and culture into two warring camps that cannot stand each other. When you watch President Donald Trump on the campaign trail or dip into social media, that perception is constantly reinforced. But the polling as we approach the midterms suggests that we might have missed something very important about America today. It is a country in flux, with large sections uneasy about the future and uncertain about any political loyalties. In other words, the country is politically up for grabs.

Look at the shifts from just two years ago. In 2024, Trump won 44 percent of the Hispanic vote, according to the New York Times. In a recent Times poll, only 31 percent of Hispanics said they plan to vote for a Republican for Congress in the midterms. Trump closed the massive Republican gap among young voters to within 10 percentage points two years ago. Today that gap is wider than it was during Barack Obama’s election in 2008, at 44 points in favor of Democrats for Congress. These are seismic shifts that rarely take place in as short a span as two years.

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