The world is adjusting to an unreliable United States

For years now, Europe has been caricatured as too divided to act, too lethargic to decide, too comfortable to think strategically. Yet over the past year, Europe has behaved with a quiet shrewdness that contradicts that stereotype. Faced with an unpredictable United States, it has neither lashed out nor capitulated. Instead, it has adapted.

When President Donald Trump returned to office and unleashed the country’s highest tariffs in nearly a century, many expected Europe to retaliate. A transatlantic trade war would have fed inflation, disrupted supply chains and weakened already fragile growth. Europe resisted the temptation. It absorbed the pressure, avoided escalation and bought time. That restraint prevented a downward global spiral.

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